QuantPartners: Morning Note - 03/16/23 $SPX
Stocks Lose Steam Overnight, ECB Out With Latest Decision
Overnight Summary: The S&P 500 closed Wednesday lower by -0.70% at 3891.93 from Tuesday higher by 1.65% at 3919. The overnight high of 3947.50 was hit at 9:10 p.m. EDT. The low was hit at 3912 at 5:55 a.m. EDT, a range of ~35 points high to low. At 7:30 a.m. EDT, the S&P 500 (mini) was lower by 12.75- points which is -0.32%.
Earnings Out After The Close:
Beats: ADBE +0.12, PATH +0.08, PD +0.06, FNV +0.03, ZTO +0.02 of note.
Flat: FIVE of note.
Misses: TPC (1.95), LPSN (0.67), AMRS (0.43), PTRA (0.25), CDRE (0.07) of note.
Unusual Options Activity:
Daily Screen in Erlanger Chartroom that highlights unusual Call and Put Options activity in the S&P 500. It looks for volume outliers relative to the Open interest in Calls or puts. Usually, the stock price activity reflects the outlier situation (earnings/buyout/announcement), but once in a while, you can uncover stocks prior to a pop or drop.
Capital Raises:
IPOs Priced or News:
ICG IPO priced @ $8.00.
Notes Priced of note:
FRPT: Prices $350 Million Convertible Senior Notes Offering.
Common Stock filings/Notes:
PRLD: Disclosed last night $75 million common stock open sale agreement.
RBA: Filed Form S-3ASR.. Up to 7,584,481 Common Shares.
Direct Offering:
NMTR: Closing of $5 Million Registered Direct Offering Priced At-The-Market Under Nasdaq Rules.
Selling Shareholders of note:
CANO: Files for 9,899,973 share common stock offering by selling shareholders; ALSO files for 29,483,101 share common stock offering by selling shareholders.
PRM: Files for 8,460,860 share common stock offering by selling shareholders; ALSO files for 126,097,150 share common stock offering by selling shareholders.
Mixed Shelf Offerings:
ADCT: Files $300 million mixed securities shelf offering.
COHU: Files mixed securities shelf offering.
DICE: Files mixed securities shelf offering.
NHI: Files mixed securities shelf offering.
NUVL: Filed Form S-3ASR -- Mixed Shelf.
Debt/Credit Filing and Notes:
Credit Suisse (CS) to borrow up to about $54 billion from Swiss National Bank. (CNBC)
LUMN: Exchange Offers for Lumen Senior Notes.
Capital Raise Summary From The TradeXchange, bringing traders and investors real time news and Squawk Box, and other sources.
News After The Close:
After Hours:
Trading Up: PATH +12%, CS +9%, CVI +7%, PD +7%, ADBE +4%, CERT +4% of note.
Trading Down: ESPR -55%, LPSN -39%, PTRA -17%, AMRS -8%, FIVE -4% of note.
News After The Close:
Stocks making the biggest moves after hours: CS, ADBE, PATH, FIVE, PD (CNBC)
Credit Suisse (CS) to borrow $54 billion from the Swiss National Bank. (CNBC)
Microsoft (MSFT)) Rations Access to AI Hardware for Internal Teams (TheInformation)
G-7 Opposes Lowering Russian Crude Price Cap From $60 a Barrel. (WSJ)
U.S. Threatens Ban if TikTok’s Chinese Owners Don’t Sell Stakes. (WSJ)
Adobe (ADBE) results, outlook top Street views as ‘mission critical’ software tops spending priorities. (MarketWatch)
Virgin Orbit (VORB) temporarily halts operations, furloughs employees as it seeks funding. (MarketWatch)
Exchange/Listing/Company Reorg and Personnel News:
Index Changes: Exponent (EXPO) set to join S&P MidCap 400; CVR Energy (CVI) and Certara (CERT) to join S&P SmallCap 600
AXON Appoints New Board Members.
CenterPoint Energy (CNP) announces appointment of Christopher Foster as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer.
Cian PLC (CIAN): NYSE to delist the American Depositary Shares from the NYSE.
Enovis (ENOV) Announces Board Leadership Transition.
Keysight (KEYS) Announces Executive Leadership Transition.
L3Harris (LHX) Statement on Second Request from Federal Trade Commission regarding previously announced acquisition of Aerojet Rocketdyne (AJRD).
Light & Wonder (LNW) to Evaluate a Potential Listing on the Australian Securities Exchange.
Mativ (MATV) Announces Greg Weitzel as New Chief Financial Officer.
Maxeon Solar (MAXN) names Matt Dawson as CTO.
MediWound (MDWD) appoints Hani Luxenburg as CFO.
Ozon Holdings (OZON) notified of pending delisting.
PG&E (PCG) appoints Carolyn Burke as Executive VP and CFO.
QIWI notified of pending delisting from the Nasdaq.
Real Matters (AUY) Announces CFO Transition.
Robinhood Markets (HOOD) COO Gretchen Howard to retire. (MarketWatch)
SMTC CEO Mohan Maheswaran to retire, promotes Asaf Silberstein to COO.
Sterling Bancorp, Inc. (SBT) Enters Into Plea Agreement with DOJ; Resolves DOJ Investigation of the Company Relating to the Advantage Loan Program; Revises Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2022 Unaudited Financial Results. (MarketWatch)
Yandex (YNDX) Receives Notice of Delisting from Nasdaq and Intends to Appeal.
Buyback Announcements or News:
New York Mortgage Trust (NYMT) increases share buyback authorization by $200 million.
Stock Splits or News: None of note.
Dividends Announcements or News:
Dollar General (DG) Board of Directors declared an increased quarterly cash dividend of $0.59 per share.
InvenTrust Properties (IVT) increases quarterly cash dividend to $0.2155 per share.
JCI Goes ex div tomorrow for $0.36.
ZTO Express (ZTO) approved a special dividend of US$0.37 per ADS.
What’s Happening This Morning: Futures value reflects the change with fair value.
S&P 500 -7, Dow Jones -111, NASDAQ +29, and Russell 2000 -10. (as of 7:57 a.m. EDT). Asia lower and Europe higher. VIX Futures are at 25.76 from 25.80 yesterday. Gold lower with Silver and Copper higher. WTI Crude Oil and Brent higher with Natural Gas higher as well. US 10-year Treasury sees yields at 3.481% from 3.53 yesterday. The U.S. Dollar is lower versus the Euro, higher versus the Pound and lower against the Yen. Bitcoin is at $25,048 from $24,528 yesterday, higher by 2.88%.
Sector Action:
Daily Positive Sectors: Communication Services of note.
Daily Negative Sectors: Energy, Basic Materials, Financials, Industrials of note.
U.S. stocks ended lower Wednesday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling almost 300 points, as concerns over troubled Credit Suisse Group CS, -13.94% added to worries about the banking system. The Dow closed 0.9% lower, while the S&P 500 shed 0.7% and the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite edged up around 0.1%, according to preliminary data from FactSet. The Swiss National Bank said Wednesday that it will provide liquidity to Credit Suisse “if necessary.” The S&P 500’s financial sector slumped 2.8% Wednesday, one of the index’s worst performing sectors along with energy and materials and industrials. (MarketWatch - edited by QPI)
Click here for a video explanation of Erlanger Value Lines.
Upcoming Earnings Of Note: (From Chartroom Software - sorted by market cap, highest to lowest with most visible names)
Thursday After the Close:
Friday Before the Open:
Earnings of Note This Morning:
Beats: BEKE +0.73, MOMO +0.54, PLCE +0.22, DBI +0.09, SIG +0.09, JBL +0.03 of note.
Flat: DG of note.
Misses: TITN (0.34), HNST (0.10), GIII (0.03) of note.
Still to Report: ASO, WSM of note.
Guidance:
Positive Guidance: STLD, ADBE, PATH, AMRS, BEKE of note.
Negative Guidance: FIVE, TPC, LPSN, PTRA, PLCE of note.
Erlanger Research Advance/Decline Chart:
Gap Ups & Down In Early Pre-Market:
Gap Up: PCT +19%, PATH +15%, CERT +9%, CS +7%, CVI +6%, ADBE +6%, SBT +5%, ADCT +4%, PD +4% of note.
Gap Down: ESPR -54%, LPSN -40%, AMRS -17%, PTRA -16%, EXPO -4%, RPD -4%, MAXN -4% of note.
Insider Action: AAT, VLY, NMFC, CROX, ENVX sees Insider buying with dumb short selling. GH, HHC sees Insider buying with smart short sellers.
Rags & Mags: Repeated stories from prior days never listed, i.e. “rehashed news”. Sorted by Global, U.S. and stock specific.
5 things to know before the stock market opens. (CNBC)
5 Things You Need to Know to Start Your Day. (Bloomberg)
Bloomberg Lead Story: Credit Suisse Posts Record Surge Before Paring Gains. (Bloomberg)
Bloomberg Most Read Story: First Republic Bank is Exploring Options Including a Sale. (Bloomberg)
Stock, Futures Steady as Credit Suisse Woes Ease: Market Wrap (Bloomberg)
Big ECB Hike today is called into doubt by Credit Suisse. (Bloomberg)
China Housing Prices are stabilizing. (WSJ)
Credit Suisse shares higher by 20% on Swiss National Bank loan announcement. (CNBC)
Treasury Secretary Yellen to testify before the Senate today and in her prepared comments she says the system is fine. (NYT)
Investors worry of a possible Credit Suisse contagion. (CNBC)
Saudi National Bank says panic over Credit Suisse is unwarranted. (CNBC)
A recession could come sooner on a cooling of bank lending. (CNBC)
Exxon (XOM) to invest $2 billion in refinery expansion, largest since 2012. (MarketWatch)
Baidu (BIDU) drops to an eight week low as reveals ChatGPT rival. (CNBC)
Moving Average Update:
Score remains at 28.
Geopolitical:
President’s Public Schedule:
The President receives the President’s Daily Briefing, 10:00 a.m. EDT
Press Briefing by Press Secretary Karine Jean-Pierre, 2:00 p.m. EDT
Economic:
Initial Jobless Claims 8:30 a.m. EDT
March Philadelphia Fed Index is due out at 8:30 a.m. EDT and is expected to improve to -13 from -24.3.
February Housing Starts are due out at 8:30 a.m. EDT and is expected to improve to 1,313,000 from 1,309,000.
Import and Export Prices 8:30 a.m. EDT
EIA Natural Gas Report 10:30 a.m. EDT
Federal Reserve / Treasury Speakers:
Treasury Secretary Yellen is scheduled to appear before the Senate Finance Committee at 10 a.m. EDT.
M&A Activity:
Rapid7 (RPD) acquires Minerva Labs, a provider of ransomware prevention technology, for approximately $38 million in cash and stock.
Meeting & Conferences of Note:
Sellside Conferences:
BAC Consumer & Retail Conference
BAC Information & Business Services Conference
Citigroup Global Consumer Conference
Gabelli Specialty Chemicals Conference
Jefferies Biotech on the Bay Summit (03/16/23-03/17/23)
Previously posted and ongoing conferences:
Barclays Global Healthcare Conference
Berenberg Thematic Software Conference
Citi TMT Conference 2023 (03/14/26-03/16/23)
Guggenheim Health Altitudes Summit (03/12/23-03/16/23)
JP Morgan Industrials Conference
Morgan Stanley European Financials Conference 2023 (03/14/26-03/16/23)
UBS Global Consumer and Retail Conference (03/15/23-03/16/23)
Company Meetings: TETC
Investor/Analyst Day/Calls: AJG, ALCH, CIIG, DGX, MSFT, NABL, PFE
R&D Day: ASLAN Pharmaceuticals (ASLN) Virtual R&D Day 2023.
Company Event: None of note.
Industry Meetings:
American Society of Interventional Pain Physicians (ASIPP) Annual Meeting 2023 (03/16/23-03/18/23)
Spine Summit 2023 (03/16/23-03/19/23)
Previously posted and ongoing conferences:
Communications Technology Expo CTE 2023 (03/15/23-03/16/23)
AEEH 48th Annual Congress 2023 (03/15/23-03/17/23)
Protein Degradation & Targeting Undruggables Congress USA 2023 (03/15/23-03/16/23)
Carnegie Nordic Healthcare Seminar Stockholm 2023 (03/14/26-03/16/23)
American College of Medical Genetics and Genomics (ACMG) Annual Clinical Genetics Meeting 2023 (03/14/26-03/18/23)
CONEXPO (03/14/26-03/18/23)
Embedded World 2023 (03/14/26-03/16/23
49th Annual Meeting of the North American Neuro-Ophthalmology Society (NANOS) (03/11/23-03/16/23)
Veterinary Orthopedic Society (VOS) Annual Conference 2023 (03/11/23-03/18/23)
South By Southwest begins today and runs through 03/19/23.
Top Tier Sell-side Upgrades & Downgrades: